Application of the Epidemic Model to Forecast the Number of Pos in the Portuguese Banking Sector
نویسندگان
چکیده
In the last fifteen years, the automatic payment in Portugal has showed periods of very strong growth. In fact, the present Portuguese banking net system has a capacity of more than 90.600 point-of-sale machines, where it is allowed to buy and pay any service in a very comfortable way. Due to the great impact that this service has been getting on the Portuguese population since its appearance in 1987, the main point of this paper is connected with an application of the Epidemic Model in order to forecast the number evolution of POS in the Portuguese banking system for the next years.
منابع مشابه
Forecasting the Growth of ATM and POS in the Portuguese Banking System
There are several factors that have been influencing and creating deep changes in the Portuguese banking sector. Among these, we can highlight technological innovation, the increasing consumer’s technological knowledge, the segmentation of the sector and the liberalization of the distribution systems. This way, it seems logical to accept that the continuous sophistication of the intra and inter...
متن کاملInvestigating the effect of banking system size on the interaction of banking system performance and economic growth in Iran using the method Smooth transition regression
Introduction: The growth of banks may pose problems to banks in terms of balance sheet. therefore, bank size could be one of the most effective banking variables affecting the performance of the branches of the banking system. the variables of bank size and their mutual relations with banking system effectiveness have always been considered in the majority of theoretical studies related to the ...
متن کاملAssessment of financial stability in the banking sector
The aims of the present study are developing a financial stability index (FSI) using banking indices to measure financial stability in Iran, and examining the relationship between financial stability and macroeconomic variables for policymaking. To these ends, we have employed principal-component analysis, out of sample forecasting, Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) method, and V...
متن کاملAnalysis and Forecast of Mining Accidents in Pakistan
In the mining sector, the barrier to obtain an efficient safety management system is the unavailability of future information regarding the accidents. This paper aims to use the auto-regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, for the first time, to evaluate the underlying causes that affect the safety management system corresponding to the number of accidents and fatalities in the surf...
متن کاملEffects of Banking Facilities on Private Sector Investment, Given the Specifications of the Iranian Banking System
In this research, a model is designed to assess the effect of banking facilities over private sector investment. In this model, private investment is a function of non-oil GDP, and with a time lag, of import of capital goods, investment of public sector and the real facilities granted by the banking system to the private sector. The effects of the model indicate a meaningful effect of the ...
متن کامل